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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6185020401001201406291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
32Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#6
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
18Foul points24
62Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#29
21.31.0
20.319.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
blue by 5.0
26.40.2
17.016.7
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Second
1522
#28
19.41.0
17.015.9
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
blue by 5.7
25.10.2
24.123.9
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End2.2
Third
9709
#27
15.41.0
16.015.0
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.0
blue by 6.7
3373
#10
22.10.2
28.127.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned