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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675702040801004524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +22
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
32Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
45Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.11.7
23.922.2
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End2.2
Level
6802
#13
25.13.4
21.217.8
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
13.51.7
19.017.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 5.4
339
#22
19.03.4
17.213.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
Third
4505
#30
12.51.7
14.112.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
blue by 2.2
9214
#19
14.83.4
13.710.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed