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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions859040601001201401607694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#12
44Coral points42
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
54Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
76Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.4
33.331.9
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End5.8
blue by 2.3
44.10.5
40.240.7
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
Second
404
#23
21.91.4
16.314.9
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2
red by 0.5
1262
#29
21.30.5
19.319.8
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
6326
#31
21.11.4
22.421.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4
red by 8.4
4472
#26
12.70.5
14.915.4
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed