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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807502040601001201401605156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
31Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#2
1L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
51Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.82.0
39.337.3
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
red by 29.8
24.01.1
14.113.0
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Second
540
#11
22.82.0
13.211.2
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
red by 0.7
3373
#10
22.11.1
27.826.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Third
14.72.0
16.514.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End1.3
blue by 6.9
1599
#14
21.61.1
24.123.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned