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Red117
580431.5
173153.8
33919.0
Blue72
40421.9
159921.6
152219.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935302040608012014016011772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+33Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points6
17Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#12
66Coral points44
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
84Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
117Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.83.1
40.643.7
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
red by 31.9
404
#23
21.90.3
14.014.3
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2
Second
5804
#12
31.53.1
19.422.5
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
red by 9.9
1599
#14
21.60.3
22.122.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Third
339
#22
19.03.1
14.117.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
blue by 0.5
1522
#28
19.40.3
12.312.6
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed