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Red74
29885.3
44954.7
325814.8
Blue107
152219.4
580431.5
34625.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716702040608010012074107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points49
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
6Processor points24
8Net points12
14Algae points36
54Total teleop85
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
74Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#3
54.71.4
46.547.9
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
red by 23.2
5804
#12
31.55.5
22.528.1
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
Second
3258
#20
14.81.4
8.610.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.5
blue by 10.6
346
#9
25.45.5
22.027.6
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Third
2988
#33
5.31.4
6.37.7
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.4
blue by 14.1
1522
#28
19.45.5
12.618.1
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed