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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57653040507080901005286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+30
Endgame+22
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
32Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points12
52Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6802
#13
25.10.3
19.819.5
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 1.2
26.41.6
22.924.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Second
614
#17
23.70.4
16.115.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End1.7
red by 2.3
1262
#29
21.31.6
21.923.5
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
617
#32
6.90.4
13.212.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.2
End0.9
blue by 7.3
2998
#18
14.21.6
11.613.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned