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Red47
1025713.5
970915.4
53916.0
Blue91
33919.0
54022.8
108629.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54660204060801001204791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+44
Endgame+38
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +26
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
32Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#19
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points6
47Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#21
16.00.8
20.119.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 13.6
29.52.3
24.326.6
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End1.1
Second
9709
#27
15.40.8
15.314.5
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.0
blue by 7.4
540
#11
22.82.2
15.517.7
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
Third
13.50.9
13.712.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 5.4
339
#22
19.02.2
18.820.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed