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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50710204060801001201406153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
50Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
61Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.2
17.518.7
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End1.7
blue by 1.4
346
#9
25.41.5
27.626.1
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
5724
#24
17.61.1
21.923.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 4.6
3373
#10
22.11.5
22.621.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Third
9214
#19
14.81.1
8.29.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.2
red by 2.2
4505
#30
12.51.5
13.912.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed