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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56573040507080903183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+52
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#12
13Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
19Total teleop64
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
31Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#14
21.61.9
23.421.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
blue by 20.2
41.83.5
36.740.3
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End5.8
Second
2998
#18
14.21.9
13.211.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.0
blue by 0.7
3258
#20
14.83.5
10.013.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Third
617
#32
6.91.9
12.910.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.2
End0.9
red by 1.0
3361
#25
5.93.5
2.15.6
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed