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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108622040801001201401601809372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points45
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
12Processor points0
4Net points8
16Algae points8
71Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points4
93Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.4
41.441.0
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
red by 17.8
26.40.2
24.524.7
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Second
5804
#12
31.50.4
28.127.7
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
red by 10.3
6326
#31
21.10.2
21.922.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4
Third
404
#23
21.90.4
16.115.7
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2
red by 7.2
14.70.2
10.710.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed