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Red60
325814.8
189526.4
921414.8
Blue58
126221.3
33919.0
53916.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487702040601001206058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
49Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
60Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.7
24.725.4
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End1.7
red by 5.0
1262
#29
21.31.2
23.522.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Second
3258
#20
14.80.7
13.614.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.5
blue by 4.1
339
#22
19.01.1
20.919.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
Third
9214
#19
14.80.7
9.310.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 1.2
539
#21
16.01.1
19.318.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed