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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518402040601001201404680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+32
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +32
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
34Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
46Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.4
22.422.0
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End2.2
blue by 29.6
449
#3
54.70.0
49.649.6
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
Second
6326
#31
21.10.4
22.121.7
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4
blue by 1.7
540
#11
22.80.0
17.717.7
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
Third
3361
#25
5.90.4
5.65.2
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.8
red by 1.8
4286
#34
4.10.0
6.66.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed