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Red106
970915.4
108629.5
680225.1
Blue141
40421.9
173153.8
1022424.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6698204080120140106141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+25
Endgame+37
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
18Coral scored#21
63Coral points77
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
91Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#7
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points0
106Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.7
26.628.3
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End1.1
blue by 24.2
53.83.2
44.247.4
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
Second
6802
#13
25.11.6
19.521.1
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 1.1
24.03.4
18.722.1
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Third
9709
#27
15.41.6
14.516.1
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.0
blue by 6.5
404
#23
21.93.2
15.718.9
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned