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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86460206010012014016010745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +56
18Coral scored#7
66Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
88Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
12Foul points0
107Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.1
41.042.2
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
red by 26.6
5724
#24
17.61.0
23.022.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Second
1522
#28
19.41.2
19.921.1
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 6.9
4505
#30
12.51.0
12.411.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
Third
617
#32
6.91.1
10.912.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.2
End0.9
red by 1.6
2988
#33
5.31.0
8.57.5
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed