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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4485020601001201401608886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
58Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
14Foul points6
88Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#17
23.71.6
18.419.9
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End1.7
blue by 7.8
5804
#12
31.50.3
27.727.4
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
Second
14.71.6
10.912.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End1.3
blue by 6.9
1599
#14
21.60.3
21.521.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Third
2998
#18
14.21.6
11.312.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.0
red by 1.5
4472
#26
12.70.3
17.116.8
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed