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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100610501509160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+31Teleop
+19Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
13Coral scored#7
45Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
63Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
12Foul points0
91Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.9
42.741.8
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End5.8
red by 19.7
3373
#10
22.10.3
21.721.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Second
25.10.9
22.021.1
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End2.2
red by 4.0
6326
#31
21.10.3
21.721.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4
Third
539
#21
16.00.9
18.217.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 1.1
3258
#20
14.80.3
14.314.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned