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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124320501001502009418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+76Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +63
15Coral scored#2
53Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
71Total teleop8
Reef
6L4#1
7L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
94Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.0
42.241.2
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
red by 28.8
9709
#27
15.41.8
16.114.3
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.0
Second
29.51.1
28.327.2
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End1.1
red by 22.6
617
#32
6.91.8
12.110.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Third
346
#9
25.41.0
28.527.5
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End1.6
red by 21.3
4286
#34
4.11.8
6.64.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned5%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed