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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58682040801001204353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
30Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points8
43Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1522
#28
19.40.6
21.120.5
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
blue by 12.0
5804
#12
31.50.7
27.426.6
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
Second
4472
#26
12.70.6
16.816.2
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 2.0
14.70.7
12.511.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Third
4505
#30
12.50.6
11.510.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
blue by 1.0
13.50.8
13.612.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed