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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107862040601201401601809393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+8Teleop
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
64Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
93Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#3
54.7
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
red by 1.0
53.8
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
Second
6802
#13
25.1
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End5.4
red by 3.6
1599
#14
21.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Third
1262
#29
21.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 16.1
2988
#33
5.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned