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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68330204060801001201406768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
41Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
12Foul points0
67Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#22
19.00.5
19.819.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
blue by 3.9
540
#11
22.82.9
17.720.5
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
Second
5724
#24
17.60.5
22.121.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 2.8
9214
#19
14.82.9
10.012.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Third
2998
#18
14.20.5
12.912.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.0
red by 8.3
3361
#25
5.92.9
5.28.1
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed