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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8187406010012014063110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+29
Endgame+41
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#12
32Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
50Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points6
63Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.9
41.840.9
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End5.8
blue by 2.3
44.12.2
41.243.4
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
Second
1262
#29
21.31.1
22.321.2
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
blue by 3.8
6802
#13
25.12.4
21.123.5
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
2988
#33
5.31.0
7.56.5
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.4
blue by 9.4
14.72.2
11.814.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned