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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785402040601001201404459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+19
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +16
6Coral scored#9
23Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
29Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
44Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#31
21.11.7
21.419.7
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4
blue by 1.7
540
#11
22.81.0
20.521.5
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
Second
1522
#28
19.41.7
20.518.8
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 4.0
9709
#27
15.41.0
14.315.3
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.0
Third
5724
#24
17.61.6
21.520.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 3.4
2998
#18
14.21.0
12.413.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed