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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2212605010015020020121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+87
Endgame+99
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +30
3Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points36
6Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +57
2Coral scored#15
8Coral points55
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
12Total teleop69
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#6
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#5
4Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +101
0Foul points2
20Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9214
#19
14.80.7
12.812.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 39.0
53.81.6
47.449.0
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
Second
4505
#30
12.50.7
10.910.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
blue by 17.0
29.51.6
27.228.8
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End1.1
Third
4286
#34
4.10.7
4.94.2
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End1.4
blue by 22.3
26.41.5
26.327.7
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
5%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned