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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48120010015020041124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+81
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +78
6Coral scored#17
23Coral points61
1Processor algae#5
1Net algae#5
6Processor points30
4Net points20
10Algae points50
33Total teleop111
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
41Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3373
#10
22.11.2
21.520.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End5.9
blue by 32.6
449
#3
54.71.5
49.651.1
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
Second
339
#22
19.01.2
19.318.0
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
blue by 12.5
5804
#12
31.51.4
26.628.0
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
Third
617
#32
6.91.2
10.39.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.2
End0.9
blue by 17.1
24.01.5
24.526.1
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed