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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569702040801201401604495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+51
Endgame+61
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +48
3Coral scored#12
10Coral points42
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
14Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
18Foul points8
44Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
25.42.3
27.525.2
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End1.6
blue by 18.7
44.10.1
43.443.5
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
Second
4472
#26
12.72.6
16.213.7
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 8.9
1599
#14
21.60.1
21.221.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Third
3361
#25
5.92.3
8.25.9
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.8
blue by 9.5
9709
#27
15.40.1
15.315.4
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned