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Red120
337322.1
580431.5
921414.8
Blue119
680225.1
900325.1
40421.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77874060100120140120119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
17Coral scored#17
61Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#7
12Processor points6
24Net points28
36Algae points34
97Total teleop96
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#7
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
120Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#12
31.52.6
28.030.7
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
red by 6.4
6802
#13
25.11.9
23.525.4
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
3373
#10
22.12.6
20.222.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End5.9
blue by 3.0
25.11.7
23.224.9
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End2.2
Third
9214
#19
14.82.6
12.114.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 7.1
404
#23
21.91.7
19.921.6
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned