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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006720408012014016012545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+34Teleop
+48Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
54Total teleop31
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
32Foul points0
125Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.9
49.049.9
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
red by 27.4
26.41.1
27.726.6
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Second
6326
#31
21.10.9
19.720.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4
blue by 2.8
24.01.2
26.124.8
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Third
2998
#18
14.20.8
13.414.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.0
red by 8.9
2988
#33
5.31.2
6.55.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed