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Red136
33919.0
859241.8
210644.1
Blue105
632621.1
54022.8
61423.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12370050100150200136105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +27
22Coral scored#15
79Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
107Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#4
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
136Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.4
42.643.0
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
red by 20.5
614
#17
23.70.5
23.223.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End1.7
Second
41.80.4
40.340.7
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End5.8
red by 19.0
540
#11
22.80.5
22.422.8
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
Third
339
#22
19.00.4
17.517.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
blue by 2.2
6326
#31
21.10.5
20.621.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4