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Red143
173153.8
450512.5
44954.7
Blue85
108629.5
53916.0
580431.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132795010015020014385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+50Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
22Coral scored#11
80Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
106Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#2
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
143Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#3
54.70.7
52.953.5
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
red by 23.2
5804
#12
31.50.2
30.831.0
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
Second
53.80.7
51.952.6
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
red by 24.2
29.50.3
28.829.0
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End1.1
Third
4505
#30
12.50.6
10.911.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
blue by 3.4
539
#21
16.00.2
15.315.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2