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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121620501001502009657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +40
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
81Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
96Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.1
42.742.6
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
red by 22.6
1599
#14
21.60.1
21.721.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Second
41.80.1
40.440.3
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End5.8
red by 20.5
1262
#29
21.30.2
21.521.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
339
#22
19.00.1
17.617.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
blue by 0.5
1522
#28
19.40.1
19.619.4
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2