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Red64
34625.4
40421.9
900325.1
Blue87
632621.1
54022.8
61423.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104894060801201401606487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
10Coral scored#15
36Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
46Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
64Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
25.40.5
25.925.4
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End1.6
red by 1.7
614
#17
23.70.2
23.023.2
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End1.7
Second
25.10.5
25.625.1
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End2.2
red by 2.3
540
#11
22.80.2
22.222.4
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
Third
404
#23
21.90.5
22.321.9
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2
red by 0.7
6326
#31
21.10.2
20.420.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4