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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12958010015020017465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+83Teleop
+85Endgame
+109Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
15Coral scored#7
53Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
18Processor points6
28Net points12
46Algae points18
99Total teleop44
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +109
24Foul points0
174Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#3
54.71.0
50.951.8
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
red by 33.1
1599
#14
21.60.1
21.321.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Second
53.81.0
49.950.9
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
red by 32.4
1262
#29
21.30.1
21.021.1
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
4505
#30
12.50.9
10.010.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
blue by 6.9
1522
#28
19.40.1
19.119.2
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2