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Red103
34625.4
40421.9
900325.1
Blue89
680225.1
572417.6
189526.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99946070809011012013014010389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
83Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#3
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points2
103Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
25.40.1
25.225.3
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End1.6
blue by 1.0
26.40.1
26.626.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Second
25.10.1
24.925.0
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End2.2
Level
6802
#13
25.10.2
25.425.2
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
404
#23
21.90.1
21.621.7
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2
red by 4.3
5724
#24
17.60.1
17.817.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.9