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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706830405060802889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+79
Endgame+83
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +69
0Coral scored#12
0Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#5
0Processor points6
0Net points20
0Algae points26
0Total teleop69
Reef
0L4#5
0L3#5
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
22Foul points0
28Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3939
#24
20.46.1
25.219.1
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End0.3
blue by 16.5
2534
#10
36.93.2
20.223.4
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
Second
3072
#25
18.06.1
17.811.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 10.1
977
#8
28.13.2
22.025.2
Auto4.0
Teleop22.4
End1.6
Third
8.00.5
12.211.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 7.4
15.311.4
9.621.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned