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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6952204060801001207789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +24
12Coral scored#15
43Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
57Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
77Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#5
39.90.3
32.032.3
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End1.2
red by 4.9
35.11.9
28.130.1
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End2.1
Second
2028
#16
25.70.3
23.423.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.5
red by 0.1
25.61.9
17.119.1
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
Third
8.00.3
7.78.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 7.8
3359
#26
15.83.2
3.87.0
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed