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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717140506080901001104599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+50
Endgame+48
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +47
4Coral scored#13
15Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
23Total teleop70
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points6
45Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.52.4
30.728.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.7
red by 3.5
977
#8
28.13.1
24.127.2
Auto4.0
Teleop22.4
End1.6
Second
2363
#14
25.02.4
29.026.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End6.4
blue by 0.4
122
#19
25.43.1
21.524.6
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
Third
1793
#23
11.82.4
6.64.3
Auto0.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
blue by 10.6
1908
#12
22.43.1
19.622.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned