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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2384040601001201404490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+32
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
7Coral scored#10
26Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
36Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
44Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2998
#18
21.00.9
16.017.0
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End1.1
blue by 35.4
422
#1
56.52.0
36.538.5
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End8.5
Second
6882
#21
14.71.6
10.912.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 22.1
2534
#10
36.92.0
26.728.7
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
Third
4286
#13
12.40.9
3.03.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.2
blue by 5.6
3072
#25
18.02.0
8.810.8
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned