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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616430405070809010049105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+66
Endgame+54
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +52
5Coral scored#16
18Coral points58
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
0Processor points0
4Net points16
4Algae points16
22Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#8
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
4Foul points6
49Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#8
28.11.4
27.225.7
Auto4.0
Teleop22.4
End1.6
blue by 17.5
346
#3
45.62.8
36.038.8
Auto12.1
Teleop32.9
End0.6
Second
2363
#14
25.01.4
26.725.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End6.4
red by 3.9
2998
#18
21.02.8
17.019.7
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End1.1
Third
4286
#13
12.40.9
3.93.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 0.6
1793
#23
11.84.6
4.38.9
Auto0.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned