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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768540601001201407383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
47Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
73Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#5
39.90.3
32.332.5
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End1.2
red by 4.9
35.10.0
30.130.0
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End2.1
Second
2534
#10
36.90.3
28.728.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
red by 11.5
122
#19
25.40.0
24.624.6
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
Third
2068
#27
11.60.3
9.79.9
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 10.8
1908
#12
22.40.0
22.722.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned