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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69632040801001203138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+7
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
3Coral scored#3
12Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
18Total teleop15
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points12
31Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.93.7
28.925.2
Auto4.3
Teleop27.8
End2.8
red by 3.4
31.53.8
28.324.5
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.7
Second
619
#17
17.03.7
21.517.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
blue by 3.4
3939
#24
20.43.8
18.514.7
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End0.3
Third
15.33.7
14.210.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 2.5
2890
#15
12.93.8
13.79.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed