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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804902040601001201401609061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
6Processor points0
8Net points16
14Algae points16
51Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points2
90Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
56.52.2
38.540.8
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End8.5
red by 30.7
2028
#16
25.70.9
23.724.6
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.5
Second
25.61.3
19.120.4
Auto6.0
Teleop17.2
End2.4
red by 4.3
4575
#11
21.20.9
17.518.4
Auto5.6
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Third
6882
#21
14.72.2
12.514.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 1.0
3359
#26
15.80.9
7.07.8
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed