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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694602060801001204284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+34
Endgame+22
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +27
4Coral scored#11
15Coral points38
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
19Total teleop46
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points20
42Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#7
29.02.4
30.928.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.9
End3.3
blue by 10.9
401
#5
39.91.8
32.534.4
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End1.2
Second
122
#19
25.42.2
24.622.3
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
red by 7.4
3072
#25
18.02.0
10.812.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Third
8.02.4
8.05.6
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 4.4
4286
#13
12.41.2
3.14.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed