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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507902040601001206682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
50Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
6Foul points12
66Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#8
28.11.0
25.726.7
Auto4.0
Teleop22.4
End1.6
blue by 8.8
2534
#10
36.90.2
28.929.1
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
Second
6882
#21
14.71.0
14.715.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 11.0
2028
#16
25.70.2
24.624.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.5
Third
2068
#27
11.61.0
9.910.9
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 8.8
3939
#24
20.40.2
14.714.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed