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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825120406010012014016010946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+63Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +59
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points28
5Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
30Processor points0
12Net points4
42Algae points4
91Total teleop32
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
109Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#3
45.62.3
38.841.1
Auto12.1
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 24.3
4575
#11
21.20.8
18.417.6
Auto5.6
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Second
34.93.5
25.228.7
Auto4.3
Teleop27.8
End2.8
red by 13.9
2998
#18
21.00.5
19.719.2
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End1.1
Third
3359
#26
15.83.5
7.811.4
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
blue by 2.2
3072
#25
18.00.8
12.712.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed