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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810440608012014016037105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+50
Endgame+62
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +47
4Coral scored#14
14Coral points51
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop65
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
12Foul points18
37Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#19
25.46.0
29.323.3
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
blue by 31.1
422
#1
56.50.3
33.833.5
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End8.5
Second
2363
#14
25.06.0
33.127.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End6.4
blue by 4.1
836
#7
29.00.3
35.835.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.9
End3.3
Third
3359
#26
15.86.0
16.410.4
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
red by 4.2
2068
#27
11.60.3
20.219.9
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned