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Red163
34645.6
42256.5
307218.0
Blue55
190822.4
12225.4
202825.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126735010015020016355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+108Teleop
+100Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +80
21Coral scored#7
76Coral points24
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
12Processor points0
24Net points8
36Algae points8
112Total teleop32
Reef
14L4#2
5L3#3
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +108
8Foul points0
163Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
56.50.9
54.455.3
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End8.5
red by 30.7
2028
#16
25.70.4
26.225.8
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.5
Second
346
#3
45.60.9
43.544.4
Auto12.1
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 20.2
122
#19
25.40.4
25.925.5
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
Third
3072
#25
18.00.9
15.916.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 4.4
1908
#12
22.40.4
23.022.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.9