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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95692040608012014016010171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+18Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
67Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +30
12Foul points0
101Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#10
36.90.1
35.435.5
Auto8.3
Teleop26.5
End2.0
red by 11.9
2363
#14
25.00.1
24.925.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End6.4
Second
35.10.1
33.633.7
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End2.1
red by 13.8
4575
#11
21.20.1
21.121.2
Auto5.6
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Third
3359
#26
15.80.1
14.214.4
Auto1.7
Teleop13.6
End0.5
blue by 4.7
3939
#24
20.40.1
20.320.4
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End0.3