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Red149
34645.6
42256.5
688214.7
Blue96
83629.0
299821.0
409934.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209140608010014016018020014996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+49Teleop
+57Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points40
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
90Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +53
8Foul points12
149Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
56.50.7
53.754.4
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End8.5
red by 21.5
34.90.1
35.935.9
Auto4.3
Teleop27.8
End2.8
Second
346
#3
45.60.7
42.843.5
Auto12.1
Teleop32.9
End0.6
red by 16.5
836
#7
29.00.1
30.029.9
Auto5.7
Teleop19.9
End3.3
Third
6882
#21
14.70.7
14.114.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 6.3
2998
#18
21.00.1
22.021.9
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End1.1