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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779140601001201401608467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+7Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points30
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
49Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
84Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#16
25.70.2
26.026.2
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.5
blue by 14.2
401
#5
39.90.4
40.640.2
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End1.2
Second
122
#19
25.40.2
25.725.9
Auto2.7
Teleop16.1
End6.6
blue by 6.1
31.50.4
32.131.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.7
Third
1908
#12
22.40.2
22.723.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End3.9
red by 10.8
2068
#27
11.60.4
12.211.8
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6